The $100 Experiment: UFC 90 Results
I've been incredibly busy this past week, so I didn't get the chance to do a preliminary write-up with my picks. This event was full of some great opportunities that my bankroll only took slight advantage of. Here's how the night went:
Anderson Silva vs. Patrick Cote, $6.50 on Anderson Silva @ -650, won $1.00. I thought that this fight was a gimme. Patrick Cote had absolutely nothing on Anderson Silva, and Silva showed it by clowning around for most of the fight. It was quite a strange outcome, but it won me money, so I guess I can't complain too much. I honestly believe that the true line for this fight was more around -800 to -900.
Josh Koscheck vs. Thiago Alves, $1.00 on Thiago Alves @ +135, won $1.35. Going into this fight, I thought it was a toin coss between the two fighters, so either fighter at a positive number would be a good deal. Most books had Koscheck as a slight underdog, but before I could jump on that, the line shifted very quickly to make him the favorite, so I instead laid a small bet on Alves. After seeing Alves brutalize Koscheck for three straight rounds, I feel fortunate that I wasn't quick enough to lay a dollar down on Koscheck.
Those were the only two bets I had, but a lot of other fights had some great value, most notably, Fabricio Werdum vs. Junior Dos Santos. The relatively unknown Junior Dos Santos was assigned a mere 14% chance to beat Werdum at +600. After seeing Dana's vlog showcasing Dos Santos hitting some pads, people went nuts. After seeing the weigh-ins where Werdum hardly looked like he'd been training at all, people went even more nuts. The line on Dos Santos shifted all the way down to +400 territory. Those lucky enough to put money on Dos Santos early were rewarded handsomely.
I came out of tonight modestly successful, going 2-0 and up $2.35. Overall, I am 20-18-3 with my picks, down $6.06.
The FanPosts are solely the subjective opinions of Bloody Elbow readers and do not necessarily reflect the views of Bloody Elbow editors or staff.
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