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The $100 Experiment: EliteXC Heat

Lines are out for EliteXC's upcoming primetime show, and there are some pretty interesting bouts in the show.  Here are my plays for the evening:

Kimbo Slice vs. Ken Shamrock, Kimbo Slice @ -325, $3.25 to win $1.  Ken really shouldn't be fighting anymore.  Kimbo has a huge advantage is size and athleticism.  Ken's only chance is to take it to the ground and work a submission game, but lately, he's been content to stand and brawl with his opponents (see Berry vs. Shamrock).  Ken's head is going to end up 15 rows back in the stands.

Gina Carano vs. Kelly Kobold-Gavin, Kobold-Gavin @ +525, $1 to win $5.25.  I think this is a case of Carano's star power dictating the line rather than her actually being that superior to Kobold.  Kobold's got a decent ground game, and she's got a good amount of strength.

Murilo Rua vs. Benji Radach, Rua @ -265, $2.65 to win $1.  Rua's got all the tools to put Radach away, regardless of position.

Also, I neglected to post my plays for DREAM.6 and WVR Sengoku IV, the main reason being I only made 1 bet between the two events.  Both events were filled with one-sided match-ups, hardly worth looking at (Aoki vs. Moore??), or fights that I didn't know much about.  My only play was Mousasi vs. Manhoef, Mousasi @ -175, bet $3.50 to win $2.  As expected, Manhoef showed that he's a one trick pony, and was outclassed by the well-rounded Mousasi.  Currently, I am 16-13-1, down $0.24.  Hopefully EliteXC can push me into the black.

The FanPosts are solely the subjective opinions of Bloody Elbow readers and do not necessarily reflect the views of Bloody Elbow editors or staff.

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I like the Kobold-Gavin bet...

I think your getting great value here. I would take her all the way down to +250 as I think she’s better than that line would suggest.

I’m iffy on Kimbo. I won’t touch that one, although I do think Kimbo will win.

I got a small bet in on Paul Daley @ +350. I don’t like Shield’s standup much and I think Daley has a definate chance to catch Shield’s.

Always a good post. Thanks for keeping us updated.

by B Money on Oct 1, 2008 11:28 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

...

I’m a puncuation champion by the way.

by B Money on Oct 1, 2008 11:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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